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Exclusives : 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Posted by David Virtue on 2009/10/13 7:50:00 (6485 reads)

2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
86 Domestic Dioceses show decline: 2008 ASA figure down 3% from 2007

News Analysis

By David W. Virtue and Mary Ann Mueller
www.virtueonline.org
10/14/2009

The Episcopal Church (USA) continued its downward spiral in church attendance in 2008 with 86 dioceses showing decline with the Diocese of South Dakota leading the way with the biggest single decline of 11.6%. Fourteen domestic dioceses revealed small or no gains. Twelve foreign dioceses split with six showing slight up ticks, four losing members and two not filing a report.

After realignment, The TEC "Diocese" of San Joaquin showed a drop of 3,050 from 3,950 to 900, a decline of 77.2%.

Overall Average Sunday Attendance in 2008 was 705257 down from 727822 in 2007, a decrease of 22,565 or 3%. Over the last five years the loss in active membership has been 14%.
The median average attendance went from 75 to 69.

The Episcopal Church claims a shade over 2 million members - (2,057,292) down 2.8% over 2007.

Overall it was not a good year for The Episcopal Church. With sharp losses expected in 2009 due to the departure of the dioceses of Pittsburgh, Quincy and Ft. Worth, attendance is expected to plunge even further.

Individually, dioceses showed even greater financial losses than human departures.

The Diocese of Connecticut met its shortfall of $574,000 for 2010 by slashing funds for youth ministry and congregational development while funding for the national church and the bishops' office, however, went up. Mission expenditure, as a percent of expenditure, was slashed. Evangelism as a line item was eliminated.

Parish income reported in 2008 (the base year for the 2010 funding) allowed projected budget income to be lowered by 12.8% below the 2009 level.


Total Proposed Budget in 2009 is $5,246,633 for 2010 from $5,820,345 down a colossal $573,000. A number of fleeing parishes affected their income and what they hoped to spend. Litigation costs are expected to rise in 2010.

Ironically, the pledge to the National church is going up. In 2009 it was $1,150,000. In 2010 it will be $1,155,000. The logic is they got the money by slashing congregational development and sending money to the national church to fund lawsuits.

The diocese lost three percent of its membership in 2008 dropping from 19,332 to 18,747.

The Diocese of Newark is also feeling the pain and it is not just the economy. Pledging units are declining.

"The challenging context within which we are working is an ever-shrinking diocese," said Bishop Mark Beckwith. "Our average Sunday attendance has gone down diocese-wide six consecutive years. So have the number of pledging units to the parishes. "Since that model was introduced 25 years ago, median average Sunday attendance has declined to 61, the number of pledging units has dropped and only 25 percent of churches can afford full-time clergy. The task force is looking at options including continuing the current model, introducing appoint toward any of them. ... There's nothing even close to a consensus on any of them."

Asked about a straight assessment model, using a model based on the biblical tithe or adopting different percentages for different sizes of parishes, Beckwith said. "Honestly, we are not leaning at this." The diocese lost another 2.6% in membership in 2008 from 2007.

In the Diocese of Massachusetts, six churches have closed over a period of three years. They include St. Andrew's Church, Belmont; St. David's Church, Halifax; St. Luke's Church, Malden; the Church of the Holy Trinity, Marlborough; St. George's Church, Maynard; and the Church of St. Matthew and the Redeemer, South Boston. Two churches (St. Mark's Church and St. John's-St. Stephen's Partnership) have merged with the former Church of the Ascension to form the new Church of the Holy Spirit, all in Fall River. Two are in the process of closing (St. Augustine's Church in Lawrence and St. Alban's Church in Lynn). As a result, the diocese has $1.6 million in hand from property sales, with an approximate additional $2 million in sales pending.

To maintain congregational vitality, a committee has recommended that saving for the future involves allocating up to 50% to an endowed fund and 30% of every dollar back to congregations. Overall income for 2010 is projected to be down with trusts and endowments dropping $280,553 and billed assessments from congregations down $275,912.

The biggest single reduction is in the amount allocated to the Episcopal Church. (The outdated term "the national church" is a misnomer, since the Episcopal Church is a multinational church with 110 dioceses in 16 countries.) The significant reduction of $170,000 reflects the actions taken by the General Convention this past July 17 which reduced the rate at which it "asks" for support from each diocese from 21% to 19% by 2012.

The Diocese of Maine also anticipates a reduction in revenue next year. Despite that, they are increasing their contribution to the National church, while slashing funding for congregational support. It would seem that national headquarters lawsuit costs (which is the biggest area of expense increase at the national level) are essentially being funded at the cost of the weakest parishes.

Income to the diocese in 2009 is $2,105,928, but it is expected to drop to $2,089,895 in 2010. At the same time, National Church asking goes from $374,708 (18%) in 2009 to $399,538 (19%) in 2010.

Anecdotal evidence reveals a number of congregations are experiencing financial difficulty while the number of congregations receiving financial assistance is large. However, changing needs and the possibility of falling congregational incomes led them to examine priorities resulting in total support to congregations going from $613,291 in 2009 to $565,478 in 2010.

In the Diocese of Minneapolis, a proposed 2010 budget offers three options for slashing the Diocese assessment and national church assessment, and handing back money for local use. All the options are based on decreasing income into the diocese.

The most extreme option would involve slashing the assessment rate from an average rate of 16% in 2009 to between 10% and 11% in 2010. Under this option, the assessment to the national church would be cut from $506 000 in the 2009 Budget down to $304 835 in the 2010 budget - a 40% decrease.

All three proposed 2010 budget options have the following similarities which include eliminating five staff positions for a total reduction of $349,142. They include a full time Canon Missioner in Congregational Development, full time Assistant Financial Officer in Finance, full time Development Director in Development, part time Administrative Assistant in Administration and part time Assisting Bishop in Episcopate. Another option is to maintain all remaining salaries at the 2009 level with no Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) for staff, except where noted.

At the parish level, The Episcopal Church's pansexual push does not seem to be paying off.

A case in point is St. Marks in Seattle. The Very Rev. Robert Taylor resigned as the gay dean of the Episcopal cathedral after leading the congregation for eight years. He said he and the church had differing visions for the church, but declined to say what they were. His tenure there has devastated the church. Attendance at the cathedral went from 1,520 two years ago to around 500 in 2008. The overall ASA for the Diocese of Olympia dropped 7.4 percent as a result.

Clergy statistics. Between 2003 and 2007, TEC lost 10% of its clergy, with the losses hitting the rank of 'Senior Clergy' hardest. The male clergy rank was the hardest hit, declining 14%. The number of missions and parishes has only declined by 2% over the same period indicating a significant number of parishes have survived only by eliminating full time clergy. Total number of senior clergy in 2003 was 986 by 2007 it was 883, a loss of 12%. Solo Clergy totaled 3764 in 2003, by 2007 it was 3400, a loss of 10%. Total male clergy went from 4355 to 3752 while female clergy rose from 1696 in 2003 to 1715 in 2007 a gain of 1%.

Lawsuits have consumed millions of dollars in a number of dioceses.

Foremost among them is the Diocese of Colorado. Bishop Rob O'Neill commented, "As a result of the extraordinary legal expenses associated with the property litigation involving Grace Church in Colorado Springs our reserves have been substantially reduced. Such litigation totaled $2,900,000. The combination of withdrawals for litigation expenditures and the stock market decline have caused the Diocesan unrestricted reserves to decline from $4,900,000 at January 1, 2006 to $750,000 currently. This decline has also led to a significant decrease in the investment income to be received from these reserves in 2010." The diocese fell by 5.4 percent (ASA) in 2008 with 10,772 members down from 11,392.

A lesson for the National Church is that the only winners in litigation are the lawyers. This begs the question: Who is the better steward of diocesan resources: the Bishop of Colorado, or the Bishop of Central Florida? When a number of parishes sought to leave the latter, Bishop John W. Howe spent not a penny on attorneys. Peace flowed with little or no recriminations. Looking at the situation in the Diocese of Massachusetts where they report the large income generated by selling the buildings of those closed parishes, one wonders if this is a new funding model for the Episcopal Church. That is, withdraw support from the weakest parishes. When they fold, use the income generated to continue paying for the expensive diocesan overheads and the huge lawsuit costs.

"Mission" in TEC it seems has come to mean paying for lots of lawyers, accountants, administrators, archivists, and very expensive bishops who don't add much value anyway. Is this the real future of The Episcopal Church?

Official statistics for 2008 released:

http://www.episcopalchurch.org/documents/Statisical_Totals_for_the_Episcopal_Church_by_Province_2007-2008.pdf

http://www.episcopalchurch.org/documents/Statistical_Totals_for_the_Episcopal_Church_by_Province_and_Diocese_2007-2008.pdf

http://www.episcopalchurch.org/documents/Domestic__FAST_FACTS_Trends_2004-2008.pdf

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Poster Thread
warmac9999
Posted: 2009/10/14 18:02  Updated: 2009/10/14 18:04
Home away from home
Joined: 2004/2/16
From:
Posts: 1463
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
If I remember correctly, a 2.5% to 3% per year loss rate is consistent with prior loss rates in similar periods of decline.

The first problem for the TEC leadership is when, if ever, do the losses stop. In prior similar periods of decline the time before plateau was about a decade. Essentially, TEC has as much as another 15% to go. This would bring membership down to about 1.7 million and ASA to about 600,000. (This, of course, assumes that the above quoted 2008 TEC numbers can be trusted.)

The second problem, however, compounds the first problem. This second problem involves major losses of dioceses and churches as well as competition from a rising American Anglican Communion. There is no real precedence within TEC for analyzing this second problem but it is obvious that it will add to the first problem in a substantial way.

The TEC leadership, along with a weak and vacillating Archbishop of Canterbury, has brought this on themselves. I suspect the end of TEC will look very much like the Anglican Communion of Canada which is dissipated almost beyond recognition. To avoid the ACoC debacle, TEC might try to merge with some other liberal religious organization such as the Unitarian Universalists. This will be relatively easy to do because TEC has abandoned all of the core Christian principles and will look toward a corporate secular model of some type to save itself.
Cennydd
Posted: 2009/10/14 18:07  Updated: 2009/10/14 18:07
Home away from home
Joined: 2005/10/30
From: Los Banos, CA, Anglican Diocese of San Joaquin
Posts: 6862
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
And +Vickie Gene Robinson says the Episcopal Church is doing well?

He's been drinking the Kool Aid again!

Cennydd
Statmann
Posted: 2009/10/14 18:08  Updated: 2009/10/14 18:08
Just can't stay away
Joined: 2008/11/20
From:
Posts: 109
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Yes, indeed, 2008 was not a good year for TEC. Total parishes/missions has now slipped below the 7,000 mark. Sad news for small churches but good news for dioceses eager to put up the For Sale signs. I thought that ASA might fall below 700 thousand but in 2009 it will for sure. I was a bit surprised by the size of the drop in Members, making it almost certain that Members will fall below the 2 million level in 2009. And it was a shocker that Plate & Pledge actully declined from 2007. In fact, Plate & Pledge has failed to exceed inflation in 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, and 2008. And the numbers in 2009 may actually make those for 2008 look good!!! Statmann
aramcara
Posted: 2009/10/14 18:51  Updated: 2009/10/14 18:51
Not too shy to talk
Joined: 2005/9/15
From: Igreja Anglicana Reformada
Posts: 28
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
I was expecting a higher percentage of loss in all the figures, but I am not in USA.
Alabamian
Posted: 2009/10/14 19:07  Updated: 2009/10/14 19:07
Quite a regular
Joined: 2009/9/8
From:
Posts: 49
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Does anyone know if ACNA has published its statistics for 2008? If so, where can one find them? If not, when?
Thyatira
Posted: 2009/10/14 19:30  Updated: 2009/10/14 19:30
Just popping in
Joined: 2009/1/24
From:
Posts: 14
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
The declines just keep coming, year after year... at what point do the people in the pews start saying "enough is enough" "the policies of our leadership are destroying our church" "we need a change of leadership before we cease to exist"

Or will they continue to believe in the spin that the decline is just demographics (Did 11% of South Dakota Episcopalians just suddenly pass in 2008. NO!?)

Is it only when it comes time for their church to be sold to fund the Bishop's salary that they will wake up? Sheesh...only 25% of churches in Newark can afford full time clergy, yet they can still afford a very well paid bishop, and send money to New York to pay for what? Time to get priorities right folks. Merge dioceses. Close down New York. Employ full time clergy in the parishes again. Clergy who actually believe what they preach.
Alabamian
Posted: 2009/10/14 19:41  Updated: 2009/10/14 19:41
Quite a regular
Joined: 2009/9/8
From:
Posts: 49
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Another thought:
David, would you give us the web addresses of the sources of these statistical data? Thanks

Statistics can be read in all sorts of ways to satisfy one's own beliefs and wishes. It happens every day at all levels of government, in news media, in business. You name it.

For instance, an opposite way of looking at these figures would be that if only 2.8 % of the Episcopal church left in one year, a period of a great deal of turmoil, that hardly qualifies as a stampede out. 97.2% of Episcopalians are staying put (at least for now). Too, many of the departures were for other reasons and to other denominations. So, 4 dioceses out of 110 and 2.8 % of the people is hardly the mass exodus that many Anglicans would like to see.

No doubt next year's figures will be more telling. And even then, it will be years before the dust of the departures will settle so it may be a long time before we have a very revealing picture of the statistical effects of the ongoing realignment.

There are 12 diocesan bishops left in TEC that are distinctly conservative (orthodox or any word you choose). If those 12 dioceses realign, that would make a total of 16 with perhaps 300,000 members in ACNA. This would leave TEC around 1.8 m.
dvirtue
Posted: 2009/10/14 19:54  Updated: 2009/10/14 19:55
Webmaster
Joined: 2004/1/2
From:
Posts: 175
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Here is a link to the fast facts 2008:

http://www.episcopalchurch.org/documents/Domestic__FAST_FACTS_Trends_2004-2008.pdf

% of Churches Growing 10%+ in ASA (past 5 years) 18%
% of Churches Declining 10%+ in ASA (past 5 years) 55%

And the median average attendance has gone from 75 to 69
Alabamian
Posted: 2009/10/14 20:19  Updated: 2009/10/14 20:19
Quite a regular
Joined: 2009/9/8
From:
Posts: 49
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Thanks for the address. There is also a great deal more info, e.g. the dioceses, at www.episcopalchurch.org/research/htm.
bcwright
Posted: 2009/10/14 23:40  Updated: 2009/10/14 23:40
Home away from home
Joined: 2005/7/4
From:
Posts: 528
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
The URL has a typo, the correct URL is: http://www.episcopalchurch.org/research.htm
webb2k
Posted: 2009/10/15 1:42  Updated: 2009/10/15 1:42
Just can't stay away
Joined: 2007/3/23
From: MISSOURAH!!!
Posts: 103
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
After a quick scan of "FACTS on Episcopal Church Growth," I think someone read the book "How to Lie With Statistics." Some of the stats seem arbitrary, but it says that the mostly conservative churches have the heaviest decline. This would suggest at first glance that liberal churches are not declining so much. What is really happening is the orthodox are getting run out. A misleading statistic. According to this text, if you have a young, mixed-ethnic congregation with joyful music and drums, you will grow. What a crock!
mathman
Posted: 2009/10/15 11:58  Updated: 2009/10/15 11:58
Home away from home
Joined: 2004/5/26
From: Rockville, MD
Posts: 1064
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Project 2020 has certainly been a success.
If I remember correctly, 2020 was to double the size of ECUSA by that year.
It is just poor arithmetic.
Cutting in half is the moral equivalent of doubling, since the remnant will be four times as important!
patulous
Posted: 2009/10/15 13:52  Updated: 2009/10/15 14:05
Home away from home
Joined: 2007/5/18
From:
Posts: 1778
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Members 2007 2,285,143
Members 2008 2,225,682
% of Change -2.6
ASA 2007 768,476
ASA 2008 747,376
% of Change -2.7

I don't agree with TEC's interpretation of their own figures. To start with, TEC, like all TEC parishes, hold on to thier members numbers and say that they have over 2 million members. While all the time the ASA (Average Sunday Attendance) bares the truth of how many are actually functioning in the church. The difference in the 2007 ASA and the 2008 ASA is 21,100 persons that have stopped coming to church and this equates to a 405 person per week loss. I don't worry what the members category equates, because it is worthless to figure. When I was going to a TEC church years ago, we always based everything on the ASA, simply because it was a true and honest figure of participation in the church. If you subtract the ASA from the members= 1,478,306 or 66.72% of the members number is all hot air. That leaves only 33.28% truth in their reporting. I guess that is also the percentage of truth they report on everything they do.....truth is cheap in the TEC.
DPJ071
Posted: 2009/10/15 16:28  Updated: 2009/10/15 16:28
Just can't stay away
Joined: 2009/7/21
From:
Posts: 105
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
I find it interesting, yet sad, that a diocese would cut funding for its youth programs in order to fund 815's legal pursuits. What a sad state of affairs. TEC has brought this upon themselves.
steelkeel
Posted: 2009/10/15 18:12  Updated: 2009/10/15 18:15
Just popping in
Joined: 2009/3/17
From: Colonial Heights, Virginia
Posts: 2
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Methinks the figures also do not reflect those of us who have remained in TEC only because our parish is traditional conservative, but whenever possible attend another demonination church on Sundays. I attend a TEC church when I am layreading or have some other duty like healing team, but go to an Assembly of God congregation whenever possible to hear the word preached and have joyous worship. if it were not for the family - wife sings in choir - grandchildren in EYC - friends still attend - I would be out of there in a heartbeat. Unfortunately the only CANA church is in Chesapeake, VA and too far to drive for Sunday services and weekday events.
xenophore
Posted: 2009/10/16 3:33  Updated: 2009/10/16 3:33
Home away from home
Joined: 2005/7/25
From: Fort Worth, TX
Posts: 183
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
There are two main things that jump out in this report for me. The first is that the Diocese of Newark can only afford full-time clergy for 25% of its parishes. What does that say about the kind of ministry that it offers in the other 75%? In looking over their parish directory, it looks like they could easily close half of their parishes and still provide good geographical coverage.

The other figures that jump out at me are the dioceses with less than 5,000-6,000 communicants. Can one still justify having a Diocese of Western Kansas or Eastern Oregon with a membership of ~2,500 each and falling? There are parishes with more communicants than the Dioceses of Eau Claire and Northern Michigan, so do they really still need to try to support a bishop? Is it time for the fastest growing diocese in TEC to revert to mission territory with only 804 people in church every Sunday across the entire state of North Dakota?
hellcat
Posted: 2009/10/16 14:25  Updated: 2009/10/16 14:32
Just can't stay away
Joined: 2006/2/7
From: Fort Worth
Posts: 147
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Here is a prime example of a bishop falsely claiming to have more members than he actually does. After St. Barts left and moved into their own building, Garrison renamed the church. Virtually everyone left with Fr. Ward. There is no way Ward's replacement bulb can claim 900 members-especially when she is passing out lollipops to kids at a Gay Pride event.
Dead church:

http://www.theredbook.org/?event=church.view&organization_id=22100
http://holyapostles.wordpress.com/us/

Live departed church:
http://forministry.com/stbartusasbecs/
CH-Discern
Posted: 2009/10/17 1:00  Updated: 2009/10/17 1:00
Home away from home
Joined: 2009/10/10
From:
Posts: 259
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Prophetic, perhaps especially for right now:

For it is time for judgment to begin with the family of God; and if it begins with us, what will the outcome be for those who do not obey the gospel of God? (1 Peter 4:17)
CityTroope
Posted: 2009/10/17 8:50  Updated: 2009/10/17 8:50
Home away from home
Joined: 2004/12/2
From: Rosemont, PA
Posts: 159
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
The figure not discussed is the average age of TEc participants. It would be very telling to see if that number was going up or down.
Myrmidon
Posted: 2009/10/18 1:02  Updated: 2009/10/18 1:02
Quite a regular
Joined: 2009/3/5
From: Somewhere in New England
Posts: 70
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Hellcat, thanks for the link to The Red Book. I looked up my former church and was amazed that they claim a congregation size of over 100, when I know that they have about 35 - 40 every Sunday.
Causidicus
Posted: 2009/10/19 0:11  Updated: 2009/10/19 0:11
Home away from home
Joined: 2005/7/3
From:
Posts: 1095
 Re: 2008 EPISCOPAL CHURCH ATTENDANCE FIGURES AWASH IN RED
Not only are these figure fictitious, they also mislead. The aging of the members of the sect, the failure to keep the young and attract the young, driving away the one segment of the group that was growing - all point in one direction: The rapid decline of the population base now and continuing without abatement to the point of statistical insignificance - as if they weren't already there!
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